skippy the bush kangaroo: it's a horse race!

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

it's a horse race!

much to the mmm's delight, the presidential race has tightened up for both parties so much that nobody knows nothin'. cbs:

in iowa, the democratic contest is knotted up. among likely caucus-goers, clinton came out on top with 25 percent support, but she was trailed closely by edwards at 23 percent, and obama at 22 percent. with a margin of error of 4 percentage points, there is no clear leader. trailing behind was bill richardson, at 12 percent, with all other candidates in single digits.

none of the top three has firmed up their support yet - about half of those backing each candidate said they could change their minds before caucus night. despite that fluidity, there are some clear patterns that show how important it will be for each candidate to turn out certain groups of voters: women have a strong preference for clinton, while those under the age of 45 give obama a double-digit lead. obama and clinton are nearly tied for support among first-time caucus-goers, but previous attendees give edwards a narrow edge over clinton.

but the gop doesn't have a clear view of their nominee at this point, either, because apparently more and more iowans heart huckabee:

while the democratic contest in iowa has been a three-way battle for some time, most polls have shown romney, a former massachusetts governor, with a strong lead in the hawkeye state, dominating the gop field. recent surveys, however, have shown huckabee picking up steam, and he is well within striking distance in the cbs news/new york times poll, where he trails romney, 27 percent to 21 percent, with a 5 percent margin of error. ..

while romney still leads in iowa, his support base is far softer than that of huckabee, a former arkansas governor whose campaign has gained momentum in recent weeks. half of huckabee supporters said they had made up their mind, compared to two-thirds of romney supporters who said they could change their mind before caucus night. overall, 57 percent of gop caucus-goers said they haven't settled on one candidate.

neither have we, espcecially since stephen colbert has dropped out!

Labels: democrats, edwards, giuliani, gop, hillary, huckabee, obama, prez campaign, romney

posted by skippy at 10:21 PM |

2 Comments:

Wait, Colbert dropped out? I knew South Carolina aced him out, but I thought he was running anyway.

Oh well, I guess he can always run for Messiah.

commented by

Kevin Hayden, 2:13 AM PST

If there wasn't so much at stake, all this campaigneering coverage would be a sitcom. We could call it "The Barack and Hillary Show." Or "Run, Run, Rudy," or some crap. These nominee-wannabe articles you keep linking to are rendering the word "ridicuolus" obsolete. You realize that, right? It's bad enough the candidates and the media have turned this important upcoming election into a silly-assed pageant. Do they have to corrupt the English language, too?

commented by