skippy the bush kangaroo

Monday, October 29, 2007

iowa hearts huckabee

the university of iowa hawkeye poll puts radar way ahead of hotlips hoolihan.

ok, sorry, we'll start again.

the university of iowa hawkey poll has sens. clinton and obama fighting it out for number one among dems, while mitt "don't call me baseball glove" romney is tops for repubbbs.

but the big surprise, tho these days it's no surprise, is the surge that former alabama gov. mike huckabee is making in the polls. u of i news:

mitt romney continues to hold a strong lead in iowa among candidates seeking the republican presidential nomination. but mike huckabee's iowa numbers -- buoyed, perhaps, by growing support among evangelical christians -- have jumped significantly since august, putting him in a near-tie with rudy giuliani and fred thompson, according to a new university of iowa hawkeye poll of likely gop caucus-goers released today, monday, oct. 29, 2007.

despite giuliani's lead in most national polls, romney holds a strong lead in iowa at 36.2 percent, with giuliani second at 13.1 percent, huckabee third with 12.8 percent and thompson fourth at 11.4 percent. john mccain has 6.0 percent.

in the race for the democratic presidential nomination, meanwhile, a slip in john edwards' numbers has allowed hillary clinton and barack obama to tighten their grips on the no. 1 and no. 2 spots, respectively. among all likely democratic caucus-goers, clinton leads with 28.9 percent, followed by obama with 26.6 percent, edwards with 20.0 percent, bill richardson with 7.2 percent and joe biden with 5.3 percent.
huckabee's favorite status in the evangelical set may spell trouble for the gop, which is hanging its hat (or diamond tiara, in this case) on guiliani.

huckabee is far too right wingnutcase for mainstream america, and the gop likes the patina of daddy-protecorate that giuliani has cross-dressed himself with.

meanwhile, the la times sez it's really funny how the polls don't reflect the big hoopla that barack "to the future" obama receives at his campaign stops:

democratic pollster mark mellman, who worked on john f. kerry's 2004 presidential campaign, cautioned that it was far too early to predict a winner in iowa. kerry, he is fond of recalling, lagged in third place until a few weeks before the caucuses. that said, mellman is also puzzled by obama's poll numbers.

"there is something missing," mellman said. "he's raised money in unbelievable amounts, generated tremendous enthusiasm . . . and vast amounts of publicity. and those advantages were not given to him on a silver platter. he earned them. there is something unique and special about this guy, and i don't know why that has not translated into more support."

after watching obama speak on his des moines campus recently, drake university political science professor dennis goldford glimpsed one reason obama is not faring as well as many think he should.

"there is a tremendous curiosity factor. he radiated a certain cool that would be very attractive to college students and young people," goldford said. "for older voters, though" -- and half of caucusgoers are 55 or older -- "the music's great, but where are the lyrics? he's been trying to fill that out somewhat, but for people inclined to go to the caucus anyway, the lack of experience is significant."
here's the lyrics:

suicide is painless
and it brings on many changes
and i can take or leave it if i please...

Labels: , , , , ,

posted by skippy at 10:15 AM |

1 Comments:

just a correction, Huckabee is former gov of arkansas
commented by Anonymous joe in oklahoma, 3:32 PM PDT  

Add a comment